Nigeria’s 2018 draft revised National Energy Policy (NEP) includes multiple targets related to the future of Nigeria’s energy mix and emissions (Energy Commission of Nigeria, 2018). The NEP includes a target to reduce energy-related GHG emissions to 15%; however, there is little detail on the nature of this target, such as a date by when it should be achieved.
The NEP also calls for a revival of Nigeria’s coal sector, which currently provides a negligible contribution to the country’s energy supply. The policy targets a 30% share of coal in the country’s energy mix, which we assume refers to the power mix. While the government has handed out 36 coal mining licences tied to 10,000 MW of coal capacity, none of the projects have been successful (Daily Trust, 2019). To be compatible with the Paris Agreement, coal power generation across Africa would need to be phased out by 2034 (Parra et al., 2019).